As of May 2016, Windows 7 still has a whopping lead of 48.57% of the total market share. How much impact will Windows 10 have; after 10 months Windows 10 is currently has 17.43% up from 15.3%, slightly better than Windows 7’s 17.11% 10 months after it was released.
This nearly 2% gain for Windows 10 came mostly at the expense of Windows 8 and 8.1 users with Windows 8 down from 3.19% to 2.62% and 8.1 dropped from 9.85% to 8.77%. Windows XP dropping from 10.6% to 10.09 and Vista only 1.35%.
Only a very few of the XP users who purchased a new PC late in 2006 or early 2007 may have hardware capable of running Windows 10. Vista users more than likely have the hardware that could run Windows 10 but with only 1.35% of the market they are not a factor and since Windows 10 is not a free upgrade for either XP or Vista these users most likely will not upgrade.
Clearly if users choose to update to Windows 10 it has to come at the expense of Windows 7 and the “Free Upgrade” offer ends on July 29th 2016, after that users will have to pay $$$ to upgrade their computer to Windows 10 which may slow down the growth of Windows 10.
Except for the last minute rush to take advantage of the free upgrade, hew device sales must now play a significant part in the growth of 10, especially the upcoming back to school sales and the traditional holiday sales in the fall of each year.